BusinessWeek snapshot of Radar Networks -- run by Peter Drucker's grandson
"Semantic Web" software from startup Radar Networks could help transform the Net
Articles and observations about software and other complex contexts
BusinessWeek snapshot of Radar Networks -- run by Peter Drucker's grandson
"Semantic Web" software from startup Radar Networks could help transform the Net
Big lines near the Apple store in downtown San Francisco tonight, TV camera crew -- excellent market choreography...
Even Steve Wozniak, the ex-partner of Jobs, showed up at a Silicon Valley, California, mall at 4 a.m. aboard his Segway scooter. He helped keep order in the line outside the Apple store.
The other customers awarded the honorary first spot in line to Wozniak, who planned to buy two iPhones on Friday even though he remains an Apple employee and will get a free one from the company next month. He said the device would redefine cell phone design and use.
Another insightful Cringely reality check
Adobe is moving into developer tools in a big way to support its grab for mindshare in the interactive/rich web application space where much of the excitement lately seems to be. Some people think of this as Browser Wars 2.0, but I think it is more fundamental than that. Here are the players. Microsoft is putting massive resources behind Silverlight. Sun is trying to take Java to the next level with Java FX. Mozilla is trying to improve its position through AJAX, Canvas support, and better offline support. And Adobe is leaning hard on Flash, Adobe Integrated Runtime or AIR (formerly code-named Apollo), and Flex. My money is on Adobe simply because of those two invisible weapons, PDF and Flash.
[...]
If it sounds like I am more or less writing off Java despite Sun's recent announcement of Java FX to directly compete with AIR and Silverlight, well I am. Adobe is far more focused than Sun on this market segment and there are just as many Flash developers as Java developers.
Read the full article for more details and projections
Timely book/reality check
Mr. Keen argues that “what the Web 2.0 revolution is really delivering is superficial observations of the world around us rather than deep analysis, shrill opinion rather than considered judgment.” In his view Web 2.0 is changing the cultural landscape and not for the better. By undermining mainstream media and intellectual property rights, he says, it is creating a world in which we will “live to see the bulk of our music coming from amateur garage bands, our movies and television from glorified YouTubes, and our news made up of hyperactive celebrity gossip, served up as mere dressing for advertising.” This is what happens, he suggests, “when ignorance meets egoism meets bad taste meets mob rule.”
The Cult of the Amateur - Andrew Keen - Books - Review - New York Times
My Burton Group colleague Guy Creese on an important Google distribution deal; see the full post for more details.
Google announced today that it had cut a deal with Ingram Micro to sell and distribute its Google Search Appliance and Google Mini. This is a smart move, as Ingram Micro is a powerhouse in distribution, and it gives Google many more feet on the street. In addition, Google is now up to having sold 9,000 search appliances, a number that dwarfs the number of enterprise search installations done by Autonomy, FAST Search, and others.
Pattern Finder: The Ecosystem Grows: Google Cuts a Deal with Ingram Micro
The Windows Live family of services expands; see the Q&A for a (software + services) (status + strategy) snapshot.
Today we’re also releasing a couple of exciting new services from Windows Live into managed beta testing: Windows Live Photo Gallery beta and Windows Live Folders beta.
Windows Live Photo Gallery is a stand-alone service that upgrades Windows Vista’s Windows Photo Gallery. Offered at no charge, Windows Live Photo Gallery enables both Windows Vista and Windows XP SP2 customers to share, edit, organize and print photos and digital home videos.The initial managed beta of Windows Live Photo Gallery beta is available today in nine markets around the world so far (including the United States (English and Spanish), China, France, Germany, Great Britain, India, Japan, and Spain), with more to come. We’re really proud of this service because it’s so easy to share photos – it’s really as easy as sending an e-mail. You can also easily publish your photos to your Windows Live Spaces.
We’re also releasing Windows Live Folders into managed beta today, which will provide customers with 500 megabytes of online storage at no charge. We see this limited managed beta in the United States right now as just a starting point for us, and we’ll begin collecting input from beta users during the testing process, which will be useful when developing future versions of the service. Like I’ve said, it’s very important to us that we give our customers multiple options for connecting to family, friends and information, and share information and other things with the people they care about the most.
Another timely iPhone reality check.
That machine, and that buzz, have inspired a lot of questions. Just how much of a phone, an iPod and an Internet machine is this thing?
Here are the answers to the most frequently asked iPhone questions.
[Check the FAQ at the link below]
Another question to consider: can near infinite hype and press fawning overcome obvious 1.0 product deficiencies (objectively read the NYT Q&A list...)? We'll soon find out.
Timely Google reality check -- on how some candidates are finding the company size and potentially limited financial upside are not compelling...
As Google Inc. exploded into a company of more than 12,000 employees, attracting a million resumes a year, the Internet giant rarely lost staff to start-ups or had prospective workers turn down job offers. Now, though, Google's magnetic pull on top Silicon Valley talent is showing signs of weakening.
p.s. sorry about the relatively sparse posts this week -- I've been so depressed about not having an iPhone that news-scanning has been painful, with all of the iPhone articles.
Just kidding -- I've been at Burton Group's annual Catalyst conference all week, with a very hectic schedule. I'll return to my normal routine next week. (I do, however, despise my Cingular/LG phone combination, in case you're wondering if I truly have iPhone envy...)
So apparently Apple does want to sell iPhones to enterprises after all...
Here’s what I’m hearing: Apple will announce this week — possibly as soon as June 27 — that it has licensed the Exchange ActiveSync licensing protocol. Via the licensing arrangement, Apple iPhone users will be able to connect to Exchange Server and make use of its wireless messaging and synchronization capabilities.
» The iPhone will be compatible with Microsoft Exchange, after all | All about Microsoft | ZDNet.com
ActForChange is petitioning Apple -- kinda weird...
On Friday June 29, Apple will release the iPhone, with 3 million units available -- seemingly more than enough to match the endless hype. However, if you want to purchase one, you'll be stuck using it on AT&T. It doesn't matter that the iPhone could work on other networks -- Apple refuses to let that happen.
Wii wow...
Nintendo Co. Ltd. (7974.OS: Quote, NEWS , Research) briefly zipped past Sony Corp. (6758.T: Quote, NEWS , Research) in market capitalization on Monday to become one of Japan's 10 most valuable companies as it elbows the PlayStation maker out of its decade-long dominance of the game industry.
Nintendo briefly outstrips Sony in market value | Tech&Sci | Technology | Reuters.com
Okay, I admit I'm impressed...
Apple Inc.'s iTunes online store was the third-largest overall music retailer in the U.S. in the first quarter, leapfrogging Amazon.com Inc. and Target Corp. in units sold, a market-research firm said. ITunes had a 9.8% market share , behind Wal-Mart Stores Inc.'s 15.8% and Best Buy Co.'s 13.8%, according to NPD Group. Amazon.com had 6.7% and Target 6.6%, the firm said. NPD's survey doesn't include mobile-music sales, nor does it factor in revenue.
Timely snapshot of emerging Google competitors
The fumbling of Google’s largest challengers, however, has not dampened the enthusiasm of entrepreneurs and venture capitalists for entering the search game. The combination of low start-up costs and potentially huge profit makes it seem a reasonable bet.
Developing a search algorithm can be accomplished by very small teams. It was a team of two — Larry Page and Sergey Brin, the founders of Google — who developed a new and improved search algorithm. They beat out Alta Vista, whose search engine was developed by seven people at the Digital Equipment Corporation.
The Human Touch That May Loosen Google’s Grip - New York Times
Hmmm...
Mark Logic announced this week (see press release) that the company has been granted a fundamental patent related to XML indexing technology. The patent, entitled "Parent-Child Query Indexing for XML Databases," is US patent number 7,171,404 and was granted on 1/30/07.
Timely reality check on Google and Yahoo! (see the article for details)
Mr. Weiner has no worries about Google’s ability to keep growing if it continues to make acquisitions, like the YouTube video site, and form partnerships with other tech heavyweights. A widely mooted deal in which Google would furnish targeted advertising to users of the fledgling Apple TV would be ideal, he said.
What could cause Google to stumble, he said, is not inadequate growth but enough of it to “step on people’s toes.” Some holders of copyrighted material do not like Google searching their content already, and as it expands, Google is bound to usurp territory that companies like Microsoft consider theirs alone, he said.
Different rules apply, since Microsoft is a regulated, convicted monopolist. It'll be interesting to see how Google handles a similar situation, if it continues on its current market share trajectory.
Predictably, Internet search giant Google isn't appeased by the half-measures that Microsoft made in meeting its demands that it be able to replace Windows Vista's Instant Search feature with its own product. Google Chief Legal Officer David Drummond said Microsoft's changes to Vista are welcome, but that "They should be improved further to give consumers greater access to alternate desktop search providers." They didn't go into more detail, so let me explain: What Google wants are two key pieces of functionality that Microsoft won't implement. First, when a third-party search engine is installed on Vista, the Instant Search feature should be completely disabled, which is not the current plan. Second, Google should get access to the search boxes that appear in each Explorer window, and not a secondary link that Microsoft is now creating. These are valid complaints, within the confines of the changes Microsoft has agreed to make. That said, Google's overall complaint is still as baseless as ever, and Microsoft should have simply told the company to take a hike. Give them and inch and they'll take a mile, as the phrase goes. Seriously, someone needs to curb Google's power now before it's too late.
Wow -- Oracle is 30 years old and has 68,000 employees. This Oracle Magazine article is a useful recap and snapshot (although it accentuates the positive, naturally).
The founding of Oracle. In 1977 Larry Ellison, together with Bob Miner and Ed Oates, founded Software Development Laboratories (later to be renamed Oracle) to undertake contract development work. After reading a paper by Codd in the IBM Journal of Research and Development, they set to work, seizing the opportunity to develop the first commercial SQL relational database. They called their database "Oracle" after the code name of a CIA-funded project they had worked on together. The first version was never released.
Behold a vaporware record that will likely stand for decades...
Sausalito, 17 June 2007 - XanaduSpace 1.0 is now available for download at http://xanarama.net.
XanaduSpace 1.0 is a new 3D document viewer from Project Xanadu, based on the transliterary open standard at http://transliterature.org. It presently runs only on Windows. It is free.
XanaduSpace 1.0 allows the user to fly around parts of a hypertext, showing text connections as translucent beams you can fly through. An included hypertext, "Origins," has eleven flying pages; one central page connects to various quotes from Bibles and cosmological theory.
[...]
Xanadu was started in the nineteen-sixties as the first hypertext system,
but has encountered many setbacks on its way to market. Nelson is not
discussing future versions. "We've learned our lesson about
pre-announcement," he says.
Interesting times...
Xandros, the leading provider of intuitive Linux solutions and cross platform interoperability tools, today announced it will join Microsoft and other companies to build and ship open source translators between documents stored in Ecma Office Open XML and Open Document Formats. The translators, being developed through the Open XML/ODF Translator project, will be made available to Xandros users via the Xandros Networks update facility. Every Xandros product that includes OpenOffice.org will be equipped with the translators.
This announcement underscores the shared view of Xandros and Microsoft that competing office productivity applications should make it easy for customers to exchange files with one another and allow them to use their operating system and office productivity applications of choice.
Xandros to Provide Enhanced Interoperability Between Standardized XML Document Formats
Real money for virtual goods
A VC principal writes that merchants are making big money in virtual worlds -- over $1.5 billion annually and growing. Virtual goods helps buyers express themselves, and increase satisfaction with whatever game, service or virtual world they're using.
Virtual Goods Are A Coming Big Business - Second Life - InformationWeek
More on Mono's "Moonlight" project
Miguel de Icaza, Open Source developer of Mono, has turned his attention to working with Silverlight on Linux. Miguel and his team worked 21 straight days to build a demo of Silverlight on Linux for the Mix07 Paris show going on now in the city of lights.
Miguel's team did an outstanding job. He has a day by day review of what they did and how they did it on his blog.
Don Dodge on The Next Big Thing: Silverlight on Linux - Miguel de Icaza's moonlight project
I never understood why AOL bought Tegic in the first place.
Nuance Communications announced Thursday that it is purchasing Seattle-based Tegic Communications from Time Warner's AOL subsidiary for $265 million in cash.
Tegic develops the commonly used T9 software that predicts what people type into their mobile phone for easier text entry. Last year, the software was shipped on nearly two-thirds of all cellphones. Nuance, based in Burlington, Mass., builds voice-recognition software, including a version for mobile phones.
AOL purchased Tegic in 1999 for $350 million in stock.
Business & Technology | Seattle's Tegic sold in $265M cash deal | Seattle Times Newspaper
Mind-mapping software review
Here's a heads-up on some organizing software that may take some getting used to. Frankly, it's taken me nearly 10 years to appreciate its power. But now that I do, it has become something of an obsession. I even have dreams about it.
It's a defiantly [sic] different kind of thought-mapping program called PersonalBrain, and a new version (including versions for Mac and Linux users) will be launched next month by U.S.-based TheBrain Technologies LP at www.thebrain.com. Users include scientists, soldiers, inventors and others who have used it to marshal their collections of thoughts, projects and even databases on criminal syndicates. I find it so useful and absorbing, there's nothing -- be it a Web site link, a random idea, a contact, a document, a scrap of information -- that I don't add to its spider-web-like screen, knowing it will throw up links my brain had never considered or had failed to remember.
Timely reality check
Facebook's success has attracted the attention of News Corp. Chief Executive Rupert Murdoch. When asked in a recent interview whether newspaper readers are migrating to MySpace, he responded, "I wish they were. They're all going to Facebook at the moment." According to Web-tracking firm comScore Inc., 105 million people visited MySpace in April and 38.8 million visited Facebook.
Another Bubble V2 milestone
Entrepreneurs Jake Winebaum and Sky Dayton were widely mocked for lavishing $7.5 million on a single Internet domain name -- business.com -- back in 1999. It was the single highest price paid for a domain name at the time.
Now look who is having the last laugh.
The company that grew out of business.com -- a search engine used by businesses to find products and services -- is now on the auction block, and could fetch anywhere between $300 million and $400 million, according to people familiar with the matter.
More details on yesterday's Enterprise 2.0 panel discussion, captured by super-blogger Michael Sampson.
Michael's Thoughts: Notes on "Vendor Spotlight on IBM and Microsoft"
This was from the panel Mike Gotta and I moderated yesterday; see the article for more details. Thanks again to the panelists for their insights.
Microsoft and IBM executives Wednesday admitted feeling heat from Google now that the Web search giant is trying to make inroads into the enterprise market with its hosted suite of communication and collaboration tools.
Google Apps, a hosted service, is gaining traction primarily in universities but is a welcome addition to enterprise software because of its simplicity and ease of use, said Rob Curry, director of Microsoft’s Office business platform group, during a panel discussion today at the Enterprise 2.0 conference in Boston.
A Microsoft speaker at TechEd noted that Microsoft SQL Server is #1 in terms of units sold -- i.e., is beating Oracle and IBM combined on new sales in terms of units; the higher revenue levels for Oracle and IBM highlight very different pricing strategies.
Oracle's database revenue increased 14.9% year-to-year, and its market share ticked up from 46.8% in 2005, Gartner said.
The research and consulting firm gave second-place IBM 21.1% of the market, with relational database sales of $3.2 billion -- up 8.8% from its sales level during 2005. But IBM's market share dropped from 22.1% in 2005, and its revenue increase fell short of the 14.2% growth of the market as a whole.
Microsoft Corp. remained in third place with a 17.4% market share last year, according to Gartner. But the firm said that Microsoft gained ground on IBM, thanks to year-over-year sales growth of 28% that bumped up its revenue total to $2.7 billion.
Gartner gives Oracle increased edge over IBM in database market
Strange days indeed
Gone are the days when parents stood on the back porch and shouted for their kids.
The AmberWatch Foundation, a nonprofit group focused on preventing child abduction, announced the pending launch of a Global Positioning System software application called AmberWatch Mobile. Parents can use the application to monitor their children's movements and children can use it to send an alert to their parents notifying them of their exact location.
The software enabling the service can be downloaded to a child's GPS-enabled cellphone. It then allows parents to log on to a dedicated Web site, amberwatchmobile.com, and quickly pinpoint their child's cellphone location. The child can also zap his or her location from the GPS-compatible handset via text message or email to the parent's phone by hitting a few keys on their cellphone.
Dunno where Microsoft stands on this...
Novell later this week will demonstrate Microsoft’s Silverlight 1.1 browser plug-in running on Linux.
The demo of Microsoft's new technology for Rich Internet Application development is set to take place in Paris at Microsoft’s Mix07 conference, and will be conducted by Miguel de Icaza, Novell’s vice president of development.
ENT News Online | News: Silverlight To Run On Linux This Week
I'm sure Apple will follow suit "real soon now..."
Under the compromise, Microsoft agreed to allow more ways for PC users to access competitors' desktop search programs, according to the report. The company will create a way for users to set their PC to default to a search program of their choosing. So, for instance, users could set the "Search" button under the Start menu of a Vista PC to always use Google's desktop search program. Microsoft also agreed to provide PC makers and software makers information on how to write desktop search programs to run more smoothly on Vista PCs.
Yahoo! redux...
Yahoo Inc.'s Jerry Yang, who started the company as a Stanford University student 12 years ago and took the helm as chief executive Monday, said he's gearing up for a long fight with Google Inc.
"I'm ready to dig in and make sure we can take Yahoo to the next level," Yang, 38, said in an interview yesterday. "I'm absolutely not interim. We want someone for the long haul."
Yahoo CEO says he's ready for long fight with Google - The Boston Globe
Hmmm
Google has acquired online slide presentation company Zenter, filling out its web-based office software portfolio with an application similar to Microsoft’s popular PowerPoint. Financial terms were not disclosed.
While the Internet search giant has already made Microsoft’s PowerPoint files viewable in GMail, Google has not yet launched its own web version of PowerPoint.
Google had previously acquired Tonic Systems, another maker of presentation software, in April.
New collaboration capabilities for SharePoint -- see the post for more details
About 3 months ago, I pre-announced the kick-off of the Community Kit for SharePoint (CKS) 2.0 effort, and fairly quickly, over 20 volunteers signed up to help. After just 2 months of work (mostly on nights and weekends), the CKS team has accomplished quite a bit and has decided to release a couple of editions and components to the community for evaluation and feedback. The CKS along with over 50 other active SharePoint oriented projects on CodePlex provide a very positive indicator of the power and extensibility of the SharePoint platform. I expect many more developers in the community to join SharePoint oriented shared source initiatives such as the CKS over the next 12 months. If you are interested, the CKS team can always use more help.
This CKS 2.0 Pre-Release contains the following:
Timely reality check
“It’s not fair to say that Yahoo totally blew it,” said Ellen Siminoff, a former Yahoo executive who is now chief executive of Efficient Frontier, a search advertising company. “Yahoo did a fine job in search. It’s just that Google did an amazing job. So in comparison, it doesn’t look as good.”
Yahoo’s Chief Resigns, and a Founder Takes Over - New York Times
See the article for Vista and Mac OS market stats
Firefox experienced it's largest slip in browser market share since Net Applications began tracking the open-source software in late 2004. Firefox's share fell from 15.42% in April to 14.54% last month. Its loss was mostly Internet Explorer's gain -- IE 7's share climbed by 0.70% -- although Apple's own Safari browser also benefited; its share was up 0.23% in May to 4.82%.
So apparently the recent shareholder meeting didn't go so well...
Yahoo Chief Executive Terry Semel is stepping down, and co-founder Jerry Yang will become the new chief executive, the company announced Monday. Semel will assume the position of nonexecutive chairman and serve as an adviser to the management team and board of directors. Sue Decker, former chief financial officer and head of the advertiser group, has been named president.
Yahoo CEO Semel steps down, Yang takes over | Tech news blog - CNET News.com
Interesting reality check
Has online retailing entered the Dot Calm era?
Since the inception of the Web, online commerce has enjoyed hypergrowth, with annual sales increasing more than 25 percent over all, and far more rapidly in many categories. But in the last year, growth has slowed sharply in major sectors like books, tickets and office supplies.
Growth in online sales has also dropped dramatically in diverse categories like health and beauty products, computer peripherals and pet supplies. Analysts say it is a turning point and growth will continue to slow through the decade.
Online Sales Lose Steam as Buyers Grow Web-Weary - New York Times
Suspend disbelief and preconceived notions, objectively read this letter, and post a comment here if you see anything objectionable. I think Microsoft is doing good stuff in this context and would be pleasantly surprised if other leading vendors followed Microsoft's example.
With ISO/IEC having standardized Open Document Format (ODF) 1.0 and considering standardizing Ecma Office Open XML (Open XML), there is a lot of public discussion about document formats and whether the world should begin to focus on only one format or continue to see multiple formats developed and used over time. Microsoft believes that users should be able to choose among formats and pick the one that best meets their needs. We also believe in encouraging the continued evolution of computing and data formats. And we support the ratification of Open XML in ISO/IEC.
That explains a lot...
An American Medical Association committee recently took steps to classify video game addiction as a mental disorder.
After nearly a year of studying the issue, an AMA committee concluded, in a 10-page report, that excessive video game playing leads to what it describes as "social dysfunction/disruption".
As a result, the AMA panel "strongly encourages the consideration and inclusion of 'Internet/video game addiction' as a formal diagnostic disorder in the upcoming revision of the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders-IV," according to the report.
A very deeply nested perspective from Cringely on Windows Safari; read the full post for context
For Apple TV to be successful as an IPTV set-top box, Apple has to convince us that we really want to download our video, NOT stream it. Not incidentally, this is also the key to iTunes' long-term success. Downloading makes much more efficient use of network resources, works fine on a copper wiring plant, and fits our emerging TiVoesque world view. Steve will tell us that we are busy dynamic people who really ought to plan our viewing. And enough of us will believe him to make AT&T's copper video service a credible success.
Seeing a pattern here yet?...
Today Microsoft Corp. and Linux desktop provider Linspire Inc. announced a broad interoperability, technical collaboration that also includes intellectual property assurances. The agreement promotes customer choice and strengthens the bridge between the Microsoft® Windows® and Linux operating systems.
Through this agreement, the companies will work to advance office docume