Facebook messaging as a replacement for SMS, perhaps, but I can’t see people being happy using services that are limited to a single platform, even if the service is free; device diversity will continue (then again, if there were an Android client for Apple iMessage, or if Google’s rumored service has an iOS client, that would probably suffice for many people)
While U.S. cellphone users sent and received more than 1 trillion texts in the second half of 2010, according to CTIA, a wireless industry trade group, that was just an 8.7% increase from the prior six months. It was the slimmest gain since texting exploded last decade.
Text traffic will come under more pressure in the months ahead. This week, Apple Inc. showed off an application that will allow iPhone and iPad owners to bypass carriers and send text messages over the Internet to other people with Apple devices.
Google Inc., whose Android software is the most popular operating system on smartphones, has also recently worked on a messaging application, a person familiar with the matter said.